Slovenia, struggling to
avoid becoming the eurozone's next bailout case after Cyprus, raised more than
twice as much as planned in a treasury bill tender on Wednesday aimed at easing
pressure on its finances.
With investors
increasingly skeptical that the small eastern European state can deal with its
troubled banks on its own, the finance ministry used the proceeds to buy back a
large tranche of debt maturing on June 6.
The move should buy
time for the four-week-old government to unveil a plan to heal its state-owned
lenders, sell public assets and push through budget cuts in a bid to restore
market confidence and borrow the rest of the funds it needs to stay solvent
later this year.
The ministry sold 1.1
billion euros ($1.4 billion) of 18-month treasury bills at a yield of 4.15
percent, more than doubling its plan to place 500 million euros of the paper
but paying around three times as much as bailed-out Portugal did last month to
borrow over the same period.
The finance ministry
then used some of the proceeds to buy back 510.7 million euros of similar bills
early and at a small discount.
The operation appeared
to calm nerves. The cost of insuring Slovenian debt against default through
five-year credit default swaps fell by 16 basis points on the day to 350 bps.
“It was a good idea to
refinance most of the debt that would mature in June now so as to reduce
uncertainty on the markets,” said Saso Stanovnik of investment firm Alta
Invest. “However, Slovenia will have to tap international markets by the end of
this year and that will be the real test.”
Roll Over
Wednesday's deal rolled
over a large part of the debt Slovenia has maturing this year, the finance
ministry said, although several redemptions of smaller issues of short-term
treasury bills are coming due from May onwards.
Analysts have said the
operation was most likely pre-arranged with Slovenia's three big banks NLB,
Abanka Vipa, and Nova KBM, in which the state is either the majority or a
strategic stakeholder. NLB told Reuters it alone had bought 295 million euros
worth of the bills sold.
It is the banks that
are at the center of Slovenia's problems, choking on some seven billion euros
worth of bad loans which officials must find a way to cover or, as in Cyprus
earlier this month, let banks fail. Prime Minister Alenka Bratusek's government
says it needs to find one billion euros for the banks and another two billion
to keep the state itself afloat.
“The strong demand at
today's sale gives the government some breathing space,'' said Nicholas Spiro,
head of London-based Spiro Sovereign Strategy. “Still, the increased reliance
on the country's banks to meet the state's funding needs accentuates the
negative feedback loop between a vulnerable sovereign and an even more
vulnerable banking sector.”
Since taking power
after a center-right coalition collapsed following protests against corruption
and austerity, Bratusek's four-party coalition has faced criticism from
Brussels and the OECD club of wealthy nations for moving too slowly to shore up
the export-reliant economy with a population of two million.
The yield on Slovenia's
10-year benchmark bond eased to 6.8 percent on Wednesday but was still two
percentage points higher than a month ago and near the red-line of roughly
seven percent at which other eurozone members have had to ask for a bailout.
Alone among the
European Union's ex-Communist members, Slovenia has refused to sell the banks,
a policy that has led to bad management, disastrous lending and three waves of
taxpayer funded bailouts since the 1990s. The government plans to start moving
many of the failing loans to a “bad bank” in June and then spend some one
billion euros to recapitalize the banks.
Bratusek has also
promised to introduce cost cutting and launch at least one major privatization
at the end of next week to raise cash and address concerns that the economy -
dominated by publicly-owned companies - relies too much on the state.
But diplomats and
analysts say decades of resistance by Slovenia's political elite to selling
state assets may pose obstacles and complicate the bank cleanup.
“I don't think Slovenia
is out of the woods yet, what the market will want to see now is a pretty
detailed reform program,” said Tim Ash, emerging market analyst at Standard
Bank. “Slovenia's own track record of state ownership leaves a major question
mark as to whether they will push ahead aggressively enough with state asset
sales.”
Sources :
http://www.voanews.com/content/slovenia-eases-concerns-debt-buy-back/1643724.html
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