Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Economist: Indonesia's economic growth is predicted to 5.9 percent

A woman watches bread baking in a small enterprise in Jakarta. In the forthcoming year, Indonesia is determined to achieve sustainable growth with equity, and one of the focuses is SMEs' global competitiveness. (illustration)

Indonesia's economic growth this year is expected to be corrected to 5.9 percent. It is lower than previous prediction 6.2 percent which is mentioned in government's basic of macroeconomic assumptions in State Budget 2013.

Economist at the Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (Indef) Enny Sri Hartati said the growth correction was caused government's plan to increase fuel price subsidy this month. The fuel price hike would boost inflation to be in range 8 to 8.5 percent. The prediction is also much higher than government's assumption of 7.2 percent. 

"Sources of economic growth in Indonesia is the largest household consumption. If the inflation increases, the purchasing power will be corrected. So that, the decrease in consumption will occur and will give a negative impact on economic growth," Hartati said on Tuesday.

Component of household expenditure accounted 54.56 percent for Indonesia's economic growth in 2012 and 54.61 percent in 2011. Minister of Finance, M Chatib Basri said government has proposed economic growth in Draft of Revision of State Budget 2013 at 6.2 percent, while inflation at 7.2 percent. It has included impact of rising fuel price.

"Government believes economic growth will not be below six percent. Related to contribution component of household expenditure, the influence of general election activities will be more visible in the next six months. It will give a positive effect on household consumption," Basri said.

Sources :
http://www.republika.co.id/berita/en/jakarta-region-others/13/06/11/mo8fbz-economist-indonesias-economic-growth-is-predicted-to-59-percent

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