U.S. agencies cleared
Boeing Co. to restart test flights of its grounded 787 Dreamliner in order to
get more data on potentially faulty batteries, but they also demanded a closer
look at how the batteries were approved, which may delay resuming delivery of
Boeing's newest aircraft.
The 50 Dreamliners in
service were grounded worldwide on Jan. 16, after a series of battery
incidents, including a fire on board a parked 787 in Boston and an in-flight
problem on another plane in Japan. The groundings have cost airlines tens of
millions of dollars, with no end in sight.
Late on Thursday, the
U.S. Federal Aviation Administration said it would allow test flights, under
more stringent rules, to monitor the batteries in flight. That followed an
earlier, one-time flight to move a 787 from Texas to Washington state.
Earlier in the day,
Deborah Hersman, head of the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board, said
regulators must review the "special conditions'' used in approving
lithium-ion battery technology on the Dreamliners.
"There have now
been two battery events resulting in smoke, less than two weeks apart, on two
different aircraft,'' Hersman said. "The assumptions used to certify the
battery must be reconsidered,'' she added.
Boeing investors took
the news in stride, pushing shares slightly higher on the day. Analysts said
the market was focusing on the wrong issue: the short-term question of fixing
the battery, versus the longer-term prospect that the entire battery system
might need to be approved again.
If the battery needs to
be re-certified, "you're talking about changes to the 50 they've
delivered, significant amount of engineering commitment on the 787-9. I see
this as still having a significant amount of question marks,'' said Ken
Herbert, an analyst at Imperial Capital in San Francisco.
Boeing shares are 3
percent higher since the 787 was grounded on Jan. 16, despite the headaches it
has caused the planemaker and the demands for compensation.
Even short sellers -
investors who seek out shares that are likely to fall - have largely left the
stock alone. According to Markit's Data Explorers, just 0.3 percent of shares
available for borrowing were being used for short bets as of Wednesday.
"The market is
focusing on the battery short circuit, which implies a simple fix,'' said
Carter Leake, analyst at BB&T Capital Markets. "But they're missing
the much bigger issue, which is the questioning of the certification process.
Hersman is basically saying we're questioning the original certification
altogether.''
Time to
Reconsider
The NTSB's Hersman
mentioned nine so-called special conditions the FAA set in 2007 in approving
Boeing's use of the battery, and its plan to allow the battery to burn itself
out if it caught fire, because the risk was considered extremely remote.
Boeing's certification
tests put the chances of smoke from a 787 battery at one in every 10 million
flight hours.
"The 787 fleet has
accumulated less than 100,000 flight hours yet there have now been two battery
events,'' Hersman said.
The special conditions
and the design assumptions are part of a broad review that the FAA launched
last month, before the second battery incident. Hersman said the NTSB was not
yet making any further recommendations.
Hersman also said on
Thursday that the NTSB has isolated the source of a Jan. 7 battery fire in
Boston to one of the battery's eight cells, but still has not found the root
cause of the fire.
The NTSB plans to issue
an interim factual report in 30 days, though the decision of returning the
plane to regular flight rests with the Federal Aviation Administration.
In a joint statement,
Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood and FAA Administrator Michael Huerta
reiterated that the FAA's comprehensive review was ongoing.
"We must finish
this work before reaching conclusions about what changes or improvements the
FAA should make going forward. The leading experts in this field are working to
understand what happened and how we can safely get these aircraft back into
service,'' they said.
In the meantime,
analysts have expressed concerns about a build-up of inventory, soaking up
several billion dollars of cash, as Boeing continues to produce the 787.
"For Boeing, it is
encouraging to see that there has been concrete progress in the investigation
but the (NTSB's) point that there is still a long road ahead ultimately appears
more important,'' said Nick Cunningham, aerospace analyst at UK-based Agency
Partners, an independent research firm.
'Ferry
Flight'
As Hersman was
addressing the news conference in Washington DC, the first 787 flight since
mid-January left Texas, with no commercial passengers and a minimum crew, and
landed safely in Washington with no visible issues. Ultimately scheduled for
delivery to China Southern Airlines, the aircraft has not yet been handed over
to the customer.
The FAA had approved
the single flight separately from Boeing's request to run a series of test
flights, placing a number of conditions, mostly having to do with testing and
monitoring the plane's battery.
Later in the day, the
FAA cleared Boeing to resume test flights, stating that their primary purpose
``will be to collect data about the battery and electrical system performance
while the aircraft is airborne.''
Boeing said it would
resume limited 787 test flights soon, without specifying a date, adding that it
was ``confident that the 787 is safe to operate for this flight test
activity.''
While the investigation
continues, Boeing is pursuing a number of ways to mitigate and contain a fire,
if one starts in the batteries, one source familiar with the probe told
Reuters. Three or four approaches would be pursued to ensure the batteries did
not breach their containment systems, even if they caught fire, said the
source.
Sources :
http://www.voanews.com/content/dreamliner-787-tests-reuters/1599528.html
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